Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.003396 0.003564 0.003735 0.003924 0.004126 0.004336 0.004571
2025-05-18 0.003082 0.003330 0.003593 0.003894 0.004232 0.004598 0.005029
2025-05-25 0.002942 0.003242 0.003570 0.003957 0.004404 0.004906 0.005518
2025-06-01 0.002792 0.003125 0.003496 0.003944 0.004475 0.005088 0.005856
2025-06-08 0.002658 0.003013 0.003416 0.003912 0.004512 0.005221 0.006134
2025-06-15 0.002526 0.002893 0.003317 0.003848 0.004502 0.005290 0.006329
2025-06-22 0.002415 0.002792 0.003234 0.003795 0.004498 0.005361 0.006523
2025-06-29 0.002344 0.002735 0.003199 0.003797 0.004559 0.005512 0.006822
2025-07-06 0.002222 0.002612 0.003078 0.003684 0.004467 0.005461 0.006850
2025-07-13 0.002167 0.002566 0.003050 0.003687 0.004522 0.005599 0.007134
2025-07-20 0.002139 0.002554 0.003061 0.003740 0.004641 0.005825 0.007548
2025-07-27 0.002074 0.002492 0.003009 0.003706 0.004643 0.005892 0.007740
2025-08-03 0.002017 0.002440 0.002966 0.003684 0.004661 0.005982 0.007973
2025-08-10 0.001962 0.002387 0.002921 0.003657 0.004671 0.006062 0.008193
2025-08-17 0.001945 0.002383 0.002939 0.003715 0.004799 0.006310 0.008674
2025-08-24 0.001901 0.002342 0.002907 0.003703 0.004827 0.006417 0.008947
2025-08-31 0.001853 0.002294 0.002864 0.003673 0.004829 0.006483 0.009158
2025-09-07 0.001796 0.002234 0.002802 0.003615 0.004786 0.006481 0.009260
2025-09-14 0.001746 0.002180 0.002748 0.003566 0.004755 0.006495 0.009385
2025-09-21 0.001717 0.002155 0.002731 0.003568 0.004798 0.006621 0.009699
2025-09-28 0.001651 0.002078 0.002641 0.003464 0.004681 0.006496 0.009591
2025-10-05 0.001626 0.002055 0.002626 0.003467 0.004722 0.006618 0.009902
2025-10-12 0.001617 0.002055 0.002642 0.003515 0.004833 0.006852 0.010417